NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 04, 2025
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 20 | 25 | 76.9% | 1 | 34.2 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 15 | 25 | 57.7% | 4 | 27.3 | 4 |
| 3 | Matt McEwan | 14 | 27 | 58.3% | 2 | 28.1 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 14 | 27 | 58.3% | 2 | 27.4 | 3 |
| 5 | Mike Thorne | 13 | 25 | 50.0% | 5 | 26.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 12 | 26 | 48.0% | 6 | 24.8 | 6 |
| 6 | Luke Phelan | 12 | 26 | 48.0% | 6 | 23.9 | 8 |
| 8 | Matt Hogel | 11 | 25 | 42.3% | 9 | 23.9 | 8 |
| 8 | Andrew Moeller | 11 | 26 | 44.0% | 8 | 24.1 | 7 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 10 | 25 | 38.5% | 10 | 21.6 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 11.6 | ATL | 0.72 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 11.3 | TB | 0.41 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 11.3 | GB | 0.41 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 11.5 | LV | 0.8 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 9.5 | HOU | 0.45 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 6.3 | DET | 0.2 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 11.4 | SF | 0.62 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 9.0 | NYG | 0.62 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 7.0 | SEA | 0.28 |
| Matt McEwan | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 11.9 | MIA | 0.8 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 11.1 | ARI | 0.72 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 5.1 | DEN | 0.2 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 10.3 | PIT | 0.61 |
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 10.2 | PHI | 0.59 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 6.0 | CHI | 0.38 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 8.4 | NO | 0.69 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 7.6 | BAL | 0.38 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 8.8 | MIN | 0.62 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 11.1 | NE | 0.59 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 9.3 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 3.5 | – | |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 10.3 | WAS | 0.8 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 7.1 | IND | 0.28 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 6.7 | – | |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 11.0 | LA | 0.38 |
| Houston Texans | 3 | 7.4 | JAX | 0.55 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5.5 | BUF | 0.2 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 10.5 | – | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 6.6 | – | |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 4.5 | NYJ | 0.59 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 14 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt McEwan | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 17 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 7 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 16 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 10 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 24 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Houston Texans | 3 | 15 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 13 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Draft Results
